Forrest City, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

780
FXUS64 KMEG 100401
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1101 PM CDT Mon Jun 9 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1101 PM CDT Mon Jun 9 2025

- Isolated strong, but sub-severe storms remain possible in north
  Mississippi this evening.

- Dry and seasonable temperatures return Tuesday and Wednesday.

- Thunderstorm chances will begin to increase by the end of the
  work week into the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Sunday)
Issued at 220 PM CDT Mon Jun 9 2025

A frontal boundary has slowly sagged through the area so far
today, with ongoing thunderstorms generally south of I-40. This
activity will continue to drift eastward through the afternoon.
While we have had plentiful amounts of SBCAPE, shear has remained
limited as expected. Lapse rates have largely been a limiting
factor so far today as well and I am not too confident that this
will improve through the remainder of the afternoon. If lapse
rates improve a bit or we can get some upscale growth with a few
of these storms, won`t rule out some strong to borderline severe
thunderstorms through about 6 PM. Wind gusts up to 60 mph with
hail up to the size of quarters would be the main concerns. The
window for anything strong to severe should decrease after 6 PM,
but a couple of lingering thunderstorms could persist over north
MS until around midnight. Frontal boundary will likely stalled
just to the south of our area, with clearing skies behind and calm
winds. I would not be surprised if we get at least some patchy to
locally dense fog mainly across north MS and up through the TN
River area. Any fog that develops overnight will quickly mix out
following sunrise.

Into tomorrow, a dry weather pattern will move into the region
with temperatures warming each day. High temperatures will be in
the mid to upper 80s on Tuesday, likely warming into the upper 80s
to low 90s on Wednesday and Thursday. By Thursday, a cutoff low
will linger across the plains, slowly drifting eastward into the
weekend. Think most of the area will likely make it through much
of Thursday without any PoPs, but could begin to see thunderstorms
move back into the area by the evening to overnight hours. Shower
and thunderstorm chances will begin to increase further on Friday
and linger into the weekend as this low moves closer to the area.
Given the lack of any real upper-level forcing, would not be
surprised if shower and thunderstorm chances become somewhat
diurnally driven, with higher PoPs in the afternoons and evenings
and lower PoPs overnight and through the mornings. As such, large
scale severe weather looks unlikely but won`t rule out a few
strong, pulse thunderstorms with strong winds and hail by the
weekend. As far as our temperatures go, warm air will remain
through the weekend with high temperatures likely remaining in the
upper 80s to low 90s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1101 PM CDT Mon Jun 9 2025

Mainly VFR conditions are expected at all sites through the TAF
cycle. The exception may be near TUP where MVFR FG/BR is possible
late tonight into early Tuesday morning. Northwest winds 3-7 kts
tonight and tomorrow, variable less than 3 kts tomorrow night.

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...CMA
AVIATION...JDS